The Silcoff Selections: Super Bowl LIX Predictions – Straight Up, ATS & Props

The Silcoff Selections are here for the final time this NFL Season ahead of Super Bowl LIX! Below are my records for my straight up, against the spread, and player prop picks for the season thus far.

Records Last Week:

Straight Up: 2-0

Against The Spread: 1-1

Season Records:

Reg Season-Straight Up: 182-90

Reg Season-Against The Spread: 133-132-7

Playoffs-Straight Up: 9-3

Playoffs-Against The Spread: 6-5-1

Player Props: 5-3

Super Bowl LIX: Philadelphia Eagles (14-3) vs Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) I Line: Chiefs -1

Personally, I think the Eagles appear to have a better roster and the correct players, particularly on the defensive line with stars like Jalen Carter and Zack Baun ready to slow down Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. I expect that Kansas City will have to use the short passing game since Mahomes will be under a lot of pressure. As a result, I think there will be a lot of short passes to Travis Kelce and Xavier Worthy, with check-downs and screens being a big part of Kansas . The Chiefs are so good at turning small plays into significant gains, so Philadelphia's defense has to limit yards after the catch. The Eagles will be well-positioned to win this game if their pass rush can continuously trouble Mahomes and stay disciplined. 

Saquon Barkley is the main player Philadelphia needs to get going to win this game. His dominance on the ground will help the Eagles win the time of possession battle and keep the Chiefs defense honest. That won't be easy, though, as Kansas City has one of the league's top run defenses. If Barkley is slowed down, Jalen Hurts will probably need to play at his best game since these two teams' last Super Bowl meeting two years ago. The Eagles have a real chance of beating the Chiefs if Hurts can play at an elite level. This season, the offense has been spotty at times, so the Eagles need their quarterback to be play well at night long. 

The game plan for Kansas City is simple: limit Barkley and make Hurts beat them through the air. If they can take away Philadelphia’s run game and put the pressure on Hurts to make plays in obvious passing situations, that's all you can ask for if you're the Chiefs. Steve Spagnuolo's defense has been among the best in the league all season, and you know that Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes will be fine. If Kansas City executes, they will be in prime position to make history. 

In the end, the Chiefs are  attempting to make history and I just can't go against them, they were my pick at the start of the season, and I am going down with the ship. They have the experience and championship pedigree to step up and take on the challenge of being the first team in NFL history to win three consecutive Super Bowls. Although I anticipate another close game, I have faith in Mahomes and Andy Reid to perform when it matters most. The Chiefs win the Super Bowl for the third straight year.

Prediction: Chiefs 28, Eagles 24

MVP: Patrick Mahomes

10 Prop Bets For Super Bowl LIX

Prop Bet #1: Both Teams To Convert a 4th Down Conversion (-130)

According to Andy Reid, the Chiefs plan to be aggressive on fourth down and with Patrick Mahomes' under center, you can understand why. On the flip side, in short yardage situations, the Eagles' Tush Push has been almost clockwork, increasing the likelihood that they will convert at least one fourth down try.

Prop Bet #2: Patrick Mahomes Over 5.5 Rushing Attempts (-125)

Mahomes is more than just a pocket passer; he can also take off when necessary, especially during the postseason. Mahomes will have to scramble to make plays because the Eagles will probably be applying pressure, and kneeldowns at the end of the game will also count toward the total, which will push this over the 5.5 threshold. He will likely continue to be aggressive, extending drives with his legs.

Prop Bet #3: Xavier Worthy Anytime Touchdown (+150)

The Eagles should be able to take away the traditional run game with Kareem Hunt and Isaiah Pacheco with their unbelievable defensive line. This could lead to a lot of short-yardage plays for Xavier Worthy in both the passing and running game. With his elite speed and the improvements we’ve seen from him this season, Worthy will have opportunities to make big plays in space. Given these factors, I believe he finds a way into the end zone during this game.

Prop Bet #4: Eagles First Half Money Line (+110)

In all of Patrick Mahomes' Super Bowl appearances, his teams have typically been forced to play from behind early, and he has never had a halftime lead. I’m taking the Eagles to be ahead at the break, well before Kendrick Lamar hits the stage for the halftime show.

Prop Bet #5: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (-115)

In the last Super Bowl these teams faced off, Jalen Hurts scored three rushing touchdowns, and I like his odds to at least get in the end zone one time on Sunday. With the Eagles' Tush Push being nearly unstoppable, it’s highly likely Hurts will punch one in again.

Prop Bet #6: Dallas Goedert Over 52.5 Receiving Yards

It has been difficult for the Chiefs to defend the middle of the field, which is exactly what Dallas Goedert specializes at. With his ability to make big plays in the short and intermediate passing game, Goedert has been a monster in the postseason. I expect him to be Jalen Hurts’ safety blanket on Sunday, racking up enough yards to hit the over on 52.5.

Prop Bet #7: DeAndre Hopkins Over 12.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

After 12 seasons, DeAndre Hopkins is finally playing in the Super Bowl. While his role has been smaller this season, I believe his patience will pay off. Kansas City traded for him mid-season to provide a reliable weapon for Mahomes, and though he hasn't had the same volume of usage as in previous years, I have a strong feeling he’ll make at least one significant play in the biggest game of his career.

Prop Bet #8: Juju Smith-Schuster Over 1.5 Receptions (-130)

While JuJu Smith-Schuster isn’t the player he once was and isn’t as heavily involved in the offense, he showed up when it mattered most in the last Super Bowl between these two teams, catching 7 passes for 53 yards. With the stage this big, I believe Mahomes will lean on the players he trusts and has seen perform in crucial moments. I think Juju catches at least two passes.

Prop Bet #9: Travis Kelce Anytime TD (+125)

I hate having this on the list because it’s a bit of a sucker bet, as everyone will be betting on it, but there’s good reason for it. In the last Super Bowl between the Eagles and Chiefs, Travis Kelce scored, and with the possibility that this could be his last game if the Chiefs win, I think he’ll find the end zone once again. Kelce is Mahomes’ go-to guy in big moments, and I expect him to make an impact against Philly in the biggest game of the season.

Prop Bet #10: Saquon Barkley First Half Touchdown (+145)

Throughout the game, Kansas City will do everything it can to limit Saquon Barkley, but I expect Philadelphia to establish him early, especially in the first two quarters. We've seen Barkley break for long touchdowns, particularly early in games, which makes him a real threat to find the end zone in the first half. At +145, this prop offers much more value than betting on him to score anytime throughout the game at -200. I believe Barkley will get it done early and help the Eagles set the tone.

My Best Super Bowl LIX Bets Recap:

• Chiefs -1.5 (-110)

• Chiefs ML (-120)

• Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl MVP (+110)

• Both Teams To Convert a 4th Down Conversion (-130)

• Patrick Mahomes Over 5.5 Rushing Attempts (-125)

• Xavier Worthy Anytime Touchdown (+150)

• Eagles First Half Money Line (+110)

• Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (-115)

• Dallas Goedert Over 52.5 Receiving Yards

• DeAndre Hopkins Over 12.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

• Juju Smith-Schuster Over 1.5 Receptions (-130)

• Travis Kelce Anytime TD (+125)

• Saquon Barkley First Half Touchdown (+145)