The Silcoff Selections are here for Week 11 of the 2024 NFL Season! Below are my records for my straight up and against the spread picks for the season thus far.
Records Last Week:
Straight Up: 10-4
Against The Spread: 5-9
Season Records:
Straight Up: 98-54
Against The Spread: 71-76-5
Teams On Byes: Cardinals, Panthers, Giants, Buccaneers
Thursday Night Football: Washington Commanders (7-3) @ Philadelphia Eagles (7-2) I Line: Eagles -3.5
The Eagles have looked great recently, but they are still hard to trust. Washington has been a great story all year long but Jayden Daniels does seem a bit banged up and in a game that may be for the division, I'll take the team with the big game experience.
Prediction: Eagles 25, Commanders 23
Early Sunday Slate
Baltimore Ravens (7-3) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2) I Line: Ravens -3
Despite continuing to play amazing football, Lamar Jackson does usually struggle against the Steelers, as shown by his 1-4 career record against Pittsburgh. Since taking over as the starting quarterback, Russell Wilson has been impressive, and Mike Tomlin's teams consistently find ways to win. Pittsburgh gets a massive win at home.
Prediction: Steelers 26, Ravens 24
Cleveland Browns (2-7) @ New Orleans Saints (3-7) I Line: Saints -1
Other than saying that I would stay away from this awful game, I'm not even sure what to add. Last week, the Saints, led by new interim head coach Darren Rizzi, had a big victory at home to snap the team's seven game losing streak. I could see Jameis Winston taking some risks with the ball in a "revenge" game for him, which might cause issues for the Browns.
Prediction: Saints 22, Browns 20
Green Bay Packers (6-3) @ Chicago Bears (4-5) I Line: Packers -5.5
The Chicago defense can only do so much to keep games close, and the offense has been horrible. While a change in offensive coordinator might help Caleb Williams, I don't see it being enough with Green Bay's offense. Off a bye, Green Bay once again takes down the Bears.
Prediction: Packers 24, Bears 17
Indianapolis Colts (4-6) @ New York Jets (3-7) I Line: Jets -4
I feel like I say this every week, but how are the Jets favored over anyone right now? Their lack of execution, attention to detail, and constant unforced errors are just a few of the many issues I can name with this team. On the other side, the Colts are turning back to Anthony Richardson. While I believe the coaching staff will put him in a better position to succeed than previously, I can’t ignore the old philosophy about dome teams struggling outdoors as winter approaches. Jets win this one—ugly.
Prediction: Jets 20, Colts 19
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8) @ Detroit Lions (8-1) I Line: Lions -14
Despite Jared Goff's career-high five interceptions, the Lions showed incredible resilience, rallying from a 23-7 deficit to escape Houston with a win. That speaks volumes about this Lions football team. Goff should bounce back against a Jacksonville squad that appears to have quit on the season. While the spread for this game is sizable, it’s worth noting that Detroit has been the best team in the league against the spread over the last three years. I expect them to continue that trend this weekend at home.
Prediction: Lions 34, Jaguars 14
Los Angeles Rams (4-5) @ New England Patriots (3-7) I Line: Rams -4.5
The Patriots are coming off a solid win in Chicago, with rookie quarterback Drake Maye continuing to impress. That said, the Rams are desperate and should be fired up after their disappointing performance on Monday night. This is just a coaching mismatch. Again, while the idea of a dome team playing in cold weather does give me pause, Los Angeles is simply more talented than this Patriots team.
Prediction: Rams 23, Patriots 18
Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) @ Miami Dolphins (3-6) I Line: Dolphins -7.5
The Dolphins have little room for error if they want to secure a playoff spot. While their Week 10 win should boost their confidence, the short week makes it hard to imagine them winning by more than a touchdown. It’s worth noting that the Raiders played them close in Miami last season, with the Dolphins edging out a 20-13 victory.
Prediction: Dolphins 24, Raiders 20
Minnesota Vikings (7-2) @ Tennessee Titans (2-7) I Line: Vikings -6
With Sam Darnold struggling in recent weeks, it’s understandable if you’re hesitant to back the Vikings as 6-point favorites. However, keep in mind that this means you’d be betting on Will Levis to keep the game close against arguably the best defense in football.
Prediction: Vikings 24, Titans 17
Sunday Afternoon Slate:
Atlanta Falcons (6-4) @ Denver Broncos (5-5) I Line: Broncos -2.5
This is one of the more fascinating matchups of the weekend. Heading into last week, I was leaning toward Denver in this game. But then Week 10 happened. The Broncos suffered a heartbreaking loss when a game-winning field goal was blocked against the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs, while the Falcons delivered an embarrassing performance in New Orleans. I expect Denver to start slow, with Atlanta coming in fired up. Falcons take a close one in Colorado.
Prediction: Falcons 22, Broncos 21
Seattle Seahawks (4-5) @ San Francisco 49ers (5-4) I Line: 49ers -6.5
Not enough people are talking about how huge this game is for the NFC playoff picture. With wins over the next two weeks, the Seahawks could suddenly find themselves back in first place in the NFC West. On the flip side, a 49ers win here could all but end Seattle’s playoff hopes. As a Seahawks fan, I haven’t hesitated to pick against them recently. However, coming off a bye week, I think Seattle keeps it close. That said, San Francisco pulls away late, with Christian McCaffrey delivering a signature performance.
Prediction: 49ers 24, Seahawks 23
Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) @ Buffalo Bills (8-2) I Line: Bills -2
I won’t start betting against the Chiefs until they lose a game. The joke circulating NFL fan circles is that they have some sort of “devil magic,” and it might be something we need to take seriously. The Bills have won four of the last five regular-season games against the Chiefs, but with a win here, Kansas City can essentially lock up the AFC’s number one seed before Thanksgiving. I’m picking the Chiefs to win again.
Prediction: Chiefs 25, Bills 22
Sunday Night Football: Cincinnati Bengals (4-6) @ Los Angeles Chargers (6-3) I Line: Chargers -1.5
I can’t stress enough how excited I am for this game. Joe Burrow has arguably been the best quarterback in football this season, aside from Lamar Jackson. Unfortunately for him, his defense continues to struggle. The Chargers might be the worst possible matchup for the Bengals right now, as I expect them to dominate on the ground against Cincinnati’s defense, while Justin Herbert is also starting to heat up as a passer. I’m picking the Chargers to win, and I predict that after this game, we’ll start hearing a lot of buzz about the Chargers being legitimate Super Bowl contenders.
Prediction: Chargers 24, Bengals 20
Monday Night Football: Houston Texans (6-4) @ Dallas Cowboys (3-6) I Line: Texans -7.5
With either Cooper Rush or Trey Lance at quarterback, I don’t see how the Cowboys can compete with this strong Texans defense. While Houston’s offense hasn’t been firing on all cylinders lately, I expect some improvement now that Nico Collins is likely back.
Prediction: Texans 27, Cowboys 10
ATS Picks Recap:
Commanders +3.5
Steelers +3
Saints -1
Packers -5.5
Colts +4
Lions -14
Rams -4.5
Raiders +7.5
Vikings -6
Falcons +2.5
Seahawks +6.5
Chiefs +2
Chargers -1.5
Texans -7.5
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